It’s hard to predict what will happen in the stock market over the next few years. However, by looking at past trends and analyzing current economic conditions, we can make some educated guesses about what to expect in 2022. This article will explore some possible scenarios that could play out for the stock market over the next four years. Remember that none of this information should be taken as gospel; it is always important to do your research before investing any money in the stock market!
Contents
Decarbonization Efforts Will Grow
According to Wall Street, the momentum behind decarbonization should pick up in 2022. As a result, worldwide concern for climate change has generated widespread support for environmental, sustainability, and governance (ESG) factors. Meanwhile, Biden’s administration has focused on making the shift to renewable energy a top priority. According to President Joe Biden, the aim is for the United States to be carbon-free in 2035. $555 billion of the proposed $1.75 trillion social safety net and climate package is dedicated to decarbonization initiatives.
According to a new study from S&P Global, we expect utility-scale solar and wind installations to reach a new peak in 2022. According to the report, “If the present administration successfully brings about a decarbonization of the energy sector by 2035, these unprecedented projections will be just the beginning.”
As a result, by 2022, there may be further changes to decarbonize. In addition, the growth of state-level renewable requirements and the expected extension of tax credits for the sector would stimulate activity in the renewable sector. Analysts predict that by 2022, stock pickers will have a field day, and investors should concentrate on fundamentals. As a result, it’s critical to find out which alternative energy companies stand out in technology innovation and profitability.
The following names could be of interest:
- Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP)
- Enphase Energy (ENPH)
- First Solar (FSLR)
- NextEra Energy (NEE)
Disruptive Technologies Go Mainstream
Technology equities are still vital to the stock market’s well-being even with high valuations in many high-growth firms. Many tech companies continue to dominate the top selections of U.S. Bank and healthcare and consumer discretionary industries.
UBS is bullish on renewable energy and sees significant investment possibilities in disruptive technologies and the transition to a sustainable economy. In particular, the company notes appealing chances in “ABC” of disruptive technology sectors, such as artificial intelligence (AI), big data, and cybersecurity equities.
By 2022, market analysts expect this sector to grow at a 15% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over 2020, resulting in $620 billion in sales. Furthermore, the Street advises investors to avoid focusing exclusively on a few well-known mega or large-cap (capitalization) technology stocks. Instead, they should seek out up-and-coming mid-cap names and early-stage tech firms.
In this context, investors may wish to keep the following stocks on their radar:
- Crowdstrike (CRWD)
- Zscaler (ZS)
- Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
High Inflation Leads To Rising Interest
Investors should anticipate the Federal Reserve significantly impacting the market’s direction in 2022 as the Fed continues to battle inflation. Policymakers at the December meeting already signaled their intention to raise the fed funds rate at least three times in the new year. This year’s holiday season will be the first to see if consumer spending and inflation rise. Many investors wonder whether we’ll get a rate increase as soon as March. We may expect four interest rate hikes in 2022 rather than three.
Increased real interest rates and a narrowing of treasury yield curves might result in lower P/E ratios in the more rate-sensitive industries. Consequently, retail investors will have to focus on firms with strong bottom-line development. Firms that cannot pass inflation on to their customers are likely to perform poorly financially. So it’s important to monitor companies’ pricing power and their ability to raise prices without losing market share.
Considering the impending jump in interest rates, consider financial services, infrastructure, and REIT possibilities. Several stock suggestions include:
- Ares Management Corporation (NYSE: ARES)
- Blackstone Group Inc (NYSE: BX)
- Brookfield Asset Management Inc (NYSE: BAM)
- Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: DLR)
- Eaton Vance Corp (NYSE: EV)
Metaverse Hype
The metaverse has been a popular investing theme in recent years. It combines technologies like augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR), and tech categories such as social media, gaming, and video. The metaverse may be in its early stages, but many of its key features are already in place. As a result, the Street sees significant growth prospects for the next several quarters.
Reid Hoffman, CEO of LinkedIn, expects significant investment and development in the metaverse sector in the rest of the decade. According To Morgan Stanley, for example, the metaverse may grow to be an $8 trillion market. Can it evolve into a place to host the next generation of social media, streaming, and gaming platforms?
Meanwhile, worldwide spending on AR and VR devices is continuing to rise. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Samsung (OTCMKTS:SSNLF), and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) are all developing AR or VR hardware and software. As a result, the metaverse may be able to carry these technology stocks to new heights in the coming years.
Semiconductor Stocks Shine Again
Semiconductor and chip equipment sales increased by more than 10% in 2021. As a result, the PHLX Semiconductor Sector index climbed around 30% in the past year. Despite this, industry experts anticipate a successful year for semiconductor firms in the new year. According to the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS), global sales will rise by 8.8 percent in 2022.
Finally, wafer foundry revenue should remain stable owing to a tight manufacturing supply. Furthermore, the long-term demand for high-performance chips used in the Internet of Things (IoT), 5G infrastructure, and electric vehicle (EV) applications like autonomous driving should help drive up chip foundry services sales. As a result, according to MarketWatch, investors may wish to include a portion of their portfolios to the following chip leader or ETFs that hold them.
Shares to keep an eye on are as follows:
- Advanced Micro Devices (AMD),
- Applied Materials (AMAT),
- ASML Holdings(ASML),
- Lam Research (LRCX)
- Teradyne(TER).
Conclusion
Overall, the stock market should have a good year in 2022. Many different sectors are expected to grow, so it is essential to diversify your portfolio. Keep an eye on companies’ pricing power and their ability to raise prices without losing market share. With the impending jump in interest rates, consider financial services, infrastructure, and REIT possibilities. The metaverse may be in its early stages, but many of its key features are already in place. As a result, the Street sees significant growth prospects for the next several quarters.
